| Exhibition
at the Florence Nightingale Museum at St. Thomas' Hospital, March
1998. |
| |
| Maths and Country
Houses |
| As a child
in her country home Florence Nightingale was, according to her sister,
often to be found deep in the study of mathematics. When she was seventeen
the registration of births, deaths and marriages was introduced and
social statistics soon became a popular subject for educated conversation.
The young Florence Nightingale expressed her interest by compiling
the statistics of her travels, recording distances travelled and the
times of arrival and departure (an example on display elsewhere in
the Museum is her Egyptian itinerary in the back of her travel guide).
In the early 1850s while
Florence Nightingale was experiencing difficulties with her family
over her choice of career as a nurse, she was eager to obtain all
available statistical information on hospitals and public health.
Her biographer, Woodham-Smith, remarked upon the positively reviving
effect which reading statistics had on Florence Nightingale, they
were at times the only point of contact with the world which interested
her most, and even before the Crimean War she had trained her mind
to envisage the harsh realities which lay behind the tables of hospital
statistics.
At the same time, when
Florence Nightingale was in her early thirties, she was sketching
out her religious ideas which were later privately printed as Suggestions
for Thought. She interwove with her theology ideas taken from the
Belgian statistician Adolphe Quetelet on probability and social
behaviour. Florence Nightingale believed that the patterns of behaviour
identified by Quetelet were expressions of the ‘Laws of God,’ left
by the Creator in order to be discovered and acted upon. An understanding
of society through statistics was just the start. The challenge
that fell to Florence Nightingale was to use statistics to improve
society.
|
| Lady with the Stats |
|
In the Crimean War (1854-56),
as in every war fought before this century, there were more deaths
from disease than as a result of battle. While working at Scutari
Hospital as the Superintendent of Nurses, Florence Nightingale could
see plainly that disease was the main enemy, and she made some shocking
observations. At Scutari the monthly rate of mortality in the first
winter reached 40% and if it had continued at that rate the British
army would have been wiped out by disease within a year. The fact
that eighteen months later, by improving hygiene, she was able to
reduce the rate of mortality to 2% proved to her that much of the
suffering of the army was unnecessary.
After the war, with the
support of Queen Victoria, a group of doctors and soldiers, and
backing from the public as a whole, Florence Nightingale pressed
the government to accept the need for Army reform. She fought with
Lord Panmure, the Minister for War, over the need for a Royal Commission
to inquire into the mortality of the army in peace and in war.
To a great extent the Royal
Commission which the government introduced in 1858 was driven by
Florence Nightingale’s own enthusiasm and hard work. The epitome
of Florence Nightingale’s contribution was the polar area chart
traditionally (but wrongly) referred to as her coxcombs.
It should not be forgotten that Florence Nightingale was ably supported
by Dr William Farr, the pre-eminent medical statistician of the
day, who helped her to refine the series of charts on which her
reputation as a statistician is mainly built. One of the many benefits
of the Royal Commission was the reorganisation of Army statistics
which were recognised as among the best in Europe.
Over the next 20 years
Florence Nightingale went on to apply statistical methods to civilian
hospitals, midwifery, Indian public health and colonial schools.
|
Legacy of the "Passionate Statistician" |
|
In 1858 Florence Nightingale
was elected the first female member of the Statistical Society and
she also became an honorary member of the American Statistical Association.
From as early as 1872 she
had taken an interest in making a lasting contribution to education
in statistics. She discussed the possibility with her friend Benjamin
Jowett, Master of Balliol College, Oxford, of endowing a Professorship
of Statistics which would be mainly concerned with the application
of statistics to social problems. In 1891 she approached Francis
Galton, the eminent mathematician for help with her scheme. The
scheme foundered and Florence Nightingale revoked her bequest of
£2000 towards the Professorship on the grounds (somewhat tongue
in cheek) that she would only "end in endowing some bacillus or
microbe, and I do not wish that". In the 1920s, the great statistician
Karl Pearson reviewed Florence Nightingale’s correspondence on statistics
and commented that a particular memorandum to Galton was still remarkably
relevant and one of the finest Florence Nightingale ever wrote.
Florence Nightingale is
still relevant to statistics today. She is often quoted with regard
to "healthcare auditing" and "quality management". She is regarded
as a pioneer of epidemiological methods for her use of public health
statistics. Although she was enthusiastic about the far reaching
application of statistics she was well aware of how data could be
manipulated. All this is a far cry from the romantic image of the
"Lady with the Lamp" which people continue to associate with Florence
Nightingale.
|
| |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|